vS Data Reaper Report #175

A weekly Hearthstone Meta Report based on data from 175,000 games.

Data Reaper Report Logo

Welcome to the 175th edition of the Data Reaper Report!

Contributing to the Data Reaper project through Hearthstone Deck Tracker or Firestone allows us to perform our analyses and to issue the weekly reports, so we want to wholeheartedly thank our contributors. Without the community’s contributions, there would be no project. Contributing data is very easy, so if you enjoy our content and would like to make sure it remains consistent and free – Sign up!


Quick Links

Class/Archetype Distribution | Class Frequency | Matchup Winrates | vS Power Rankings | vS Meta Score | Class Analysis & Decklists | Meta Breaker of the Week | How to Contribute | Credits


Number of Games

Overall 175,000
Top 1K Legend 5,000
Legend (Excluding Top 1k) 7,000
Diamond 4 to 1 17,000
Diamond 10 to 5 26,000
Platinum 26,000
Bronze/Silver/Gold 94,000

Class/Archetype Distribution

Class Frequency

Class Frequency Discussion

The balance changes’ biggest impact is the fall of Druid. The class has collapsed in play throughout ladder, with Guardian Druid on a persistent decline that’s still ongoing. Interestingly, Quest Druid has popped up at top legend and is seeing some experimentation.

Soul Demon Hunter was most likely to benefit from the decline of one of its toughest matchups, and the deck has spiked in play, especially at top legend where it has surpassed 20% of the field. It has seen an incredible amount of success at higher levels towards the end of September.

Turtle Mage has been deleted, while Cyclone Mage remains one of the most popular decks in the format following the balance changes. It is only second to Soul DH at top legend, where it is nearing a 20% play rate.

Rogue has had a quiet week in which it seems to have maintained its presence. Miracle Rogue is more prominent at higher ranks, while Aggro Rogue is more noticeable at lower ranks. Galakrond Rogue is seeing experimentation at top legend, signaling a potential return to the format.

Bomb Warrior is a similar deck to Soul Demon Hunter, so when the latter receives so much attention, the former is seeing less play. The more interesting news is that the Warrior class is finally giving other archetypes a second chance, with both Enrage and Control Warrior being extensively tested at higher levels.

Priest has seen a small uptick in play. Highlander Priest remains fairly popular at lower ranks, but Control Priest is the deck of choice at top legend. This trend has already begun before the patch, but it appears to be accelerating now.

Hunter seems to be unaffected by the balance changes and continues an internal shift that we’ve identified a couple of weeks ago. More attention is given to the new Face variant of Highlander Hunter, which has looked fairly promising at initial glance and it’ll be interesting to see whether it stands the test of time.

While Paladin has always been extremely popular on the climb to legend, the class is finally getting some respect at top legend, where its play rate has risen to around the 8% mark. Libroom Paladin is now fairly noticeable throughout ladder and has established itself as a competitive meta deck that is favored over Pure Paladin amongst high-level players.

Shaman and Warlock haven’t seen any interesting developments, and both classes remain non-existent at top legend. Totem Shaman and Zoo Warlock are the most common choices within these classes, but neither deck has gained any ground following the patch.

Matchup Win Rates Header

Power Rankings Header

vS Meta Score

vS Power Rankings Discussion

Once again, nothing seems to be out of line when it comes to power level in Scholomance Academy. It’s another week in which win rates at higher levels of play are incredibly flat and plenty of classes are viable and competitive. However, “dead classes” might be an issue resulting from a couple of high impact nerfs. Shaman, Warlock, and now Druid just don’t look relevant anymore.

  • Demon Hunter
    • Soul Demon Hunter has greatly benefitted from the nerf to Druid, and it has replaced it as the safest choice to play at higher levels. Its good win rate in a field that is heavily incentivized to counter it is a reflection of its strength. The only class that is capable of beating it consistently is Paladin, while Control Priest offers a softer answer. Other fringe decks such as Big or Control Warrior have also been utilized to beat it, but their overall power level is questionable or unclear.
    • Aggro Demon Hunter looks fairly weak, which isn’t surprising considering how strong Soul Demon Hunter looks. This matchup has always been a big problem for Aggro DH, which is why it is currently struggling. You simply run into them too often, especially at top legend.
  • Mage
    • Cyclone Mage is looking stronger than before, helped by the fall of Druid. Its matchup spread is fairly balanced at the moment, and it doesn’t mind queuing into most opponents. While Soul Demon Hunter is challenging to play against, Mage would rather face them than Bomb Warriors. That’s the one matchup you really hate to see, and perhaps, you’re about to see more of them soon.
    • Highlander Mage still sits in dumpster territory, though we will reiterate that the Cyclone Highlander Mage build is a stronger choice that belongs in Tier 3 at the very least. But, you might wonder whether there’s a competitive reason to play it over Cyclone Mage in the current meta, and we don’t really have a good answer to that.
  • Rogue
    • Miracle Rogue looks okay, but not great. It still suffers from the usual refinement issues which might be holding it back to some degree, and the Soul DH/Bomb Warrior matchups remain irritating. It doesn’t seem to possess outstanding strengths that would entice players to choose it over other decks. You play Miracle Rogue because you want to play Miracle Rogue.
    • Aggro Rogue continues to look very underwhelming, though we will say it now has a clear best choice in its variant. The Dancer build is currently outperforming other variants by a significant margin, and should it completely take over, the archetype might edge closer to the 50% win rate mark.
    • Galakrond Rogue’s performance doesn’t seem to be too encouraging, but the archetype is still fairly experimental, so its current win rate can be forgiven. There are many different approaches being tested and there’s a good chance it will get better once it settles on the best one. The nerf to Druid, its worse matchup, possibly opened a window of opportunity for it to come back.
  • Warrior
    • There is no subtlety with Bomb Warrior. The deck is powerful and provides the most reliable way to beat Cyclone Mage consistently while exhibiting a reasonable matchup against Soul Demon Hunter as well. Considering that these are the two most popular decks at top legend, those are valuable assets. The reason why Bomb Warrior isn’t dominant is its poor matchups against Paladin, Hunter, and Aggro Rogue. It’s one of the most polarizing decks in Scholomance Academy, and the meta during SA has generally not been very polarizing at all.
    • While their play rate is too low to include in the Power Rankings this week, both Enrage and Control Warrior are exhibiting initial results that suggest they’re worth exploring further. Control Warrior is an intriguing counter to burn decks that would have been a surefire Meta Breaker if its Priest matchup wasn’t one of the most miserable in Hearthstone’s history. Enrage Warrior seems to have massively benefitted from Druid’s fall, the class that was responsible for its disappearance in the first place.
  • Priest
    • We like how Control Priest is performing in the post-patch meta. It has been making significant progress in its optimization and its build is fairly flexible too. There is still room for improvement, so the fact it already displays a positive win rate is encouraging. Certainly looks strong.
    • We don’t like how Highlander Priest is performing and think it’s generally a waste of time even if you build it well. Control Priest is so much more suitable to compete in the current meta that there is no real reason to go Highlander. It’s not a coincidence that you see less of this deck as you climb ladder. It’s just not very good.
  • Hunter
    • Despite the rise in popularity of Soul Demon Hunter, Face Hunter is still performing pretty well, which is a testament to its strength against the rest of the field. At top legend, where Soul Demon Hunter is extremely common, is where you start seeing Face Hunter significantly drop off.
    • This is where Highlander Hunter comes in, a deck that may not be as strong as Face Hunter in some matchups (such as Bomb Warrior), but has a better chance of beating Soul Demon Hunter. As the “Face” variant of the archetype grows, so does its win rate. At legend, Highlander Hunter is the best performing deck in the format, and while the margins are fairly small, it’s indicative of a sleeper deck that’s likely to grow in popularity further.
  • Paladin
    • Paladin’s position in the meta is fairly important since it now almost stands alone in its quest to prevent Soul Demon Hunter from becoming oppressively powerful. As always, Pure Paladin is extremely powerful on the climb to legend. Libroom Paladin isn’t as strong but doesn’t drop off as much at higher levels of play. Both decks mostly suffer from weak matchups into Mage and Priest, and Cyclone Mage’s popularity at top legend is the primary reason why their win rate drops close to the 50% mark there.
  • Druid
    • The nerf to Guardian Animals has crippled Guardian Druid, and it might not be able to survive in the post-patch meta. We’ve looked at all of its variants, and none of them has been able to effectively adjust to the nerf. The archetype could end up completely disappearing. We’ll have to see whether players can find a solution because otherwise, it looks grim.
    • We’ve also looked at Quest Druid as a possible way to salvage the class, but the deck looks far from competitive. Its life gain options make it pretty strong against Soul Demon Hunter, but that’s the only asset it possesses. We suspect its initial individual success came from players that constantly hit that matchup at top legend. It’s pretty weak against the rest of the field, something we can’t say for a deck like Control Warrior, where we see more promise beyond the Soul DH matchup.
  • Shaman and Warlock
    • Totem Shaman’s current win rate appears reasonable, but it’s likely to get worse over time as Druid declines further in play. Zoo Warlock still looks terrible, and we don’t have much hope for it. We don’t see any promising developments in other archetypes of these classes.

Class Analysis & Decklists

Demon Hunter | Druid | Hunter | Mage | Paladin | Priest | Rogue | Shaman | Warlock | Warrior

 


Soul Demon Hunter was a big winner of the balance changes, as it has seen one of its main counters deleted from the format. In the absence of Druid and the rise of its own popularity, Soul DH now looks to become more effective in the mirror, something it hasn’t really focused on before.

Hoard Pillager is a card that we were not fond of before as re-equipping Aldrachi Warblades was rarely worth it (for Pillager to be good, you need to be happy with this outcome, not just Marrowslicer). The mirror is a different story. In this matchup, lifestealing is extremely important as both players often find themselves racing for lethal and the health swing can be massive, so Hoard Pillager’s value has gone up.

There is less importance on early game snowballing since Soul DH is very good at answering early game minions such as Battlefiend. With Druid gone, Magtheridon also makes far less sense.

Data Reaper Report - Mage

Cyclone Mage is enjoying the disappearance of Druid and has seen an improvement in its performance as a result. With the new patch, we’ve also seen the Dragon build break away and become the better choice. It generally has a stronger late game and the meta is becoming more focused on sustainability, while cards such as Devolving Missiles and Firebrand are less important to include. One change we would now make is to include Jandice over a Violet Spellwing, since it’s a strong card against Soul Demon Hunter.

Highlander Mage still doesn’t see much play, with the Cyclone variant dropping off since players feel that they’re better off just running the non-Highlander deck. But, if you do want to run a Highlander deck, the Cyclone variant is still superior to the Big-Spell build.

Data Reaper Report - Rogue

Rogue is in a similar position to where it was before the balance changes, when it was competitive but not outstanding.

The Vendetta variant of Miracle Rogue has looked better this week thanks to the inclusion of Underbelly Fence over Cult Neophyte. The 2-drop has helped justify the thief package since we have another strong payoff for it. Even Dragon’s Hoard, a card that has consistently looked terrible for the last two months, might be worth it as a single copy. The Vendetta variant doesn’t have much flexibility in its secret options, with double Plagiarize highly encouraged. Both variants have similar matchup spreads.

Aggro Rogue is being pushed in the direction of the Stealth Dancer build thanks to the rise of Soul Demon Hunter and fall of Druid. This variant has two important things that are required for more success in the DH matchup: sustainable off-board damage thanks to Self-Sharpening Sword, and beefier minions thanks to Steeldancer. As of this week, the Dancer variant is the way to go.

Galakrond Rogue is attempting to make a return, as it was previously very limited by the pace and power of Druid. A vanilla build that omits secret or stealth packages looks the most promising, with Polkelt proving to be an extremely important late-game piece. With no Druids around, Questing Adventurers aren’t as important, with Faceless Corruptors offering strong removal and board swings instead.

Data Reaper Report - Warrior

The balance changes and the death of Druid may lead to the diversification of the Warrior class. While Bomb Warrior is enjoying ongoing success with a fairly established build, two archetypes are attempting to make their return to the format.

Control Warrior has emerged as a strong counter to Soul Demon Hunter thanks to its armor gain, which also makes it very effective against burn decks in general (Face Hunter, Bomb Warrior, Aggro Rogue). Its late game plan involves copying Rattlegore or Kargath with Bloodsworn Mercenaries, which also serves an important role in faster matchups alongside Armorsmiths. We’re featuring BZRK’s list, which we found to be optimally built.

The archetype’s issue mostly comes down to its Priest matchup, which is utterly horrible (15-85). This might prevent Control Warrior from being more than a fringe ladder deck since it’s so easy to counter.

Enrage Warrior was initially pushed out of the format due to the rise of Druid, and Malfurion’s fall may see it come back. Its two variants look evenly matched. Running double Kor’kron alongside Rampage and Lord Barov helps you in slower matchups. The Egg/Teron build is stronger against faster decks, such as Face Hunter and Soul Demon Hunter.

Data Reaper Report - Priest

Control Priest seems to be transitioning into running more removal, which might be a result of Druid’s decline. Cards such as Shadow Word: Death and Holy Smite are helpful against Mage, Rogue and Demon Hunter, and work better with Sethekk Veilweaver. The increased importance of removal pushes out the Galakrond package, with Veilweaver helping us find late-game value instead.

Highlander Priest just seems to be strictly worse in every way to Control Priest, and the archetype continues in its pre-patch direction, which is fading away from the format and mostly settling at lower ranks where players are less informed about its flaws. The current best direction for the archetype, if you insist on it, is getting greedier with its late-game options, as exhibited by the featured build.

Data Reaper Report - Hunter

In theory, Hunter should be discouraged by the rise of Soul Demon Hunter, but the class is doing more than fine. Both Face Hunter and Highlander Face Hunter are thriving off other matchups while still displaying some capability of improving their difficult matchup.

Face Hunter’s trap choices are now fairly obvious. Pressure Plate no longer makes sense after the nerf to Guardian Animals, and aggro decks aren’t common enough to justify Explosive Trap. Freezing Trap and Pack Tactics present the most tempo and are the best choices against Demon Hunter.

Highlander Hunter has fully embraced the Face build, and it continues to perform very well. The deck has a better matchup against Demon Hunter due to its strong finishing potential through Dinotamer Brann and Zephrys. One card we’re interested in again is Toxic Reinforcements, replacing Pressure Plate in the featured build. It offers us another mid-game finisher, and Soul Demon Hunter might be the one matchup where you’d want to play the side quest on turn 1.

Data Reaper Report - Paladin

Paladin still looks pretty strong throughout ladder, and both of its established options can look to tweak their builds in the new meta.

In a meta that’s dictated by Soul Demon Hunters, you’re generally dissuaded from running early game minions and want “taller” threats that don’t die to their AOE easily. This is why we’ve seen the value of Shotbots in Pure Paladin drop, and we’d rather run Murgur (for the better late game 2-drop) and the 2nd Blessing of Authority. Authority/Braggart is a very powerful combo that can be difficult to deal with for the Demon Hunter, since their single copy of Consume Magic is usually not a good enough answer to it. They have to be lucky with their Wandmakers.

Libroom Paladin’s late game issue might simply be alleviated with more draw consistency. We’ve seen a rise in popularity of Novice Engineer, and the card looks pretty good alongside Salhet’s Pride as long as you don’t make the mistake of keeping it in the mulligan. In general, keeping card draw is not a good decision in this deck because you’d rather find cards that further your actual game plan. Think of it like this: throwing away a Loot Hoarder or a Novice Engineer is essentially cycling them for 0 mana instead of 2. You can consider keeping Salhet’s Pride with a strong enough hand.

A card that might not be worthwhile anymore is Wild Pyromancer. While it has a strong combo with Libram of Justice, it doesn’t have other good enough applications. Pen Flinger is the better card to abuse Libram of Wisom with, works well enough with Libram of Justice, and acts as a late-game pseudo-finisher. We like running two copies of it.

Data Reaper Report - Shaman

Nerfing Druid wasn’t really what Totem Shaman wanted out of balance changes, as it is one of the matchups that the deck thrived off. Unfortunately, it looks like the meta will only become more hostile to Shaman as Druid fades away, which doesn’t bode well for its already lukewarm performance against the field.

We don’t anticipate any Shaman deck finding relevance in the near future.

Data Reaper Report - Warlock

Warlock is still largely unplayable. Zoo Warlock’s performance continues to look atrocious, which isn’t surprising considering it hasn’t received any buffs and the meta hasn’t become more favorable to it. Once again, there’s not much to talk about here.

Data Reaper Report - Druid


Data Reaper Report - Meta Breaker

We were very close to picking Highlander Face Hunter to be the Meta Breaker for report #174. Its ability to contest Soul Demon Hunter more effectively has prevented it from losing momentum following the balance changes, and it now looks even stronger than Face Hunter at higher levels of play.

With many different decks having success in the current meta, Highlander Hunter might be flying under the radar. It’s time to give this one more attention.

Highlander Hunter


Preparing our weekly article requires a significant amount of time and effort from many individuals. We would like to wholeheartedly thank our current Patreons, whose generous donations help us fund computing and server costs.

vS Gold is a new membership plan aimed to support our efforts towards improving our content and data analysis while receiving some bonuses and extra features.

Tier 3+ Patrons

Special thanks to Leo GAaron B, Jed M, Drew M, Alan J, Zolstar, Sean H, Steve F, Andrew N, NObdy, Alonso P, James Y, Je-ho, Ziqiao Y, Stephen H, William H, Patrick L, 1RiceBowl1, Alex S, PeejTreon, Josh G, Matthew H, Bruno B, Amir, Matthew P, nmbrthry, amenbrotep, Karhu, Fisherington, Christopher N, Eric F, and Eric L for supporting us this month.

Contributors

Here are all the people that participated in bringing you this edition of the vS Data Reaper Report:

EndofDayswwloscheesee-hunterspacemonkey-paladin TzachilookitzjoeSentenza

2 Comments

  1. Jesus who made those reports LOL Warlock don’t exist. I play Galakrond Warlock and i had 64% wr to legend. It smash almost every deck and class mentioned here.

Comments are closed.