Welcome to the 211th edition of the Data Reaper Report!
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Number of Games
|Top 1K Legend||5,000|
|Legend (Excluding Top 1k)||8,000|
|Diamond 4 to 1||10,000|
|Diamond 10 to 5||12,000|
This one will be short…
- Numerous factors have caused ladder to stagnate in developments.
- There’s lower game activity due to the launch of Mercenaries, which should partially recover next week, but obviously turned people’s attention away from ladder.
- The upcoming Master’s Tour is encouraging high level players to keep innovations close to their chest. We might see some of those spill over to ladder once lineups are submitted.
- An MMR bug has discouraged legend players from queuing up.
- The delay in the launch of the mini-set might be causing some fatigue.
- When we’ve looked at the data, we’ve found no new things to report in terms of deck refinement. The builds we recommend are the same they were last week. So, we’ll skip the class section writeups and try to be concise in the discussion, to avoid repeating ourselves.
Class Frequency Discussion
Contact Rogue’s population seems to have hit saturation under 15% at top legend. Its play rate outside of legend, where it doesn’t win many games, is under 4%.
Quest Mage is continuing its decline at legend, but the deck remains extremely popular everywhere on ladder except at the very top.
Small dip in Taunt Druid’s numbers, correlating with its recent relaxation in win rate. Anacondra Druid is stable.
When Taunt Druid declines, Face Hunter goes up and Quest Hunter does down, a response to their respective performances against the deck. Face Hunter is very popular at higher levels of play.
Not much movement in Demon Hunter. Lifesteal DH exists to counter Rogue.
There’s more interest picking up in Warrior, especially the Quest archetypes.
Handlock is rising in play as Mage goes down. The deck has become quite popular at top legend, but wherever Quest Mage remains extremely prevalent, Warlock’s presence is light.
Elemental Shaman is picking up further traction. The Doom variant is more popular at top legend. The Whack variant is more popular elsewhere.
Libram Paladin stands in place. The Vanilla build remains more popular, though the Secret build has become relatively more noticeable throughout ladder. This mostly has to do with the popularity of Mage, again.
vS Meta Score
vS Power Rankings Discussion
- Contact Rogue seems to be under control at higher levels. While the deck is obviously very strong, it’s not unbeatable, and there’s a big focus on countering it. Just look at the high play rate of Lifesteal DH despite its mediocre overall results on ladder.
- Quest Rogue has solidified as a Tier 2 deck at all levels of play. Poison Rogue is estimated to be Tier 2 at legend and Tier 3 outside of it.
- Quest Mage seems to be getting worse every week. It’s now displaying a negative win rate throughout ladder, and it looks particularly bad at top legend. There is no competitive reason to play so much of it on ladder.
- Meta trends are now favoring Taunt Druid again. The rise of Face Hunter is a notable upside, and Mage’s decline is another. The deck simply has a very strong matchup spread and it’s hard to keep it down.
- Anacondra remains very situational. Mostly used as a hard answer to quest decks, and a softer one to Rogue. Very vulnerable to the top tier aggressive decks.
- More Warlocks and less Taunt Druids is always good news for Face Hunter, and not so good news for Quest Hunter. It seems that the meta is a bit cyclical in its nature and this is the week where aggressive decks are peaking.
- Demon Hunter
- Bit of a down week for DH. Lifesteal DH is stuck being very niche. Fel DH isn’t actually gaining much from Face Hunter rising in play if Taunt Druid declines, and then worsening matchups against Warlock and Rogue are causing issues. You know what you get with Deathrattle DH.
- Warrior might be a bit underrated at this point. Aggro-Quest Warrior is perfectly competitive. Control-Quest Warrior is legitimately strong at top legend. Big Warrior is decent throughout ladder despite the presence of an oppressive matchup in Quest Mage. Control Warrior is in a similar position to Control-Quest, based on our estimate.
- Lots of Mages? Handlock is okay. Not a lot of Mages? Handlock becomes very good. That’s the gist of things when it comes to the deck’s performance. What prevents Handlock from being a consistent Tier 1 deck at higher levels of play is its Face Hunter matchup. But other than Mage and Hunter, there aren’t any reliable answers to it.
- Another week in which we’re liking the look of Elemental Shaman. The Whack variant is the stronger performer through most of ladder, but the Doom variant impresses us most at top legend. It performs quite well against Rogue, Demon Hunter and Hunter.
- Libram Paladin looks very good and both of its variants serve their purpose, which we’ve discussed last week. The Secret variant is mostly superior on ladder, but the choice between the two is a little more complicated at higher levels of play due to the greater balance in the meta.
Class Analysis & Decklists
- Rogue Class Radar
- Contact Rogue
- Quest Rogue
- Poison Rogue
- Hunter Class Radar
- Face Hunter
- Quest Hunter
- Demon Hunter Class Radar
- Lifesteal Demon Hunter
- Fel Demon Hunter
- Deathrattle Demon Hunter
- Warrior Class Radar
- Aggro-Quest Warrior
- Control-Quest Warrior
- Control Warrior
- Big Warrior
- Shaman Class Radar
- Quest Shaman
- Elemental Shaman
- Paladin Class Radar
- Libram Paladin
- Secret Paladin
- Handbuff Paladin
It feels like most players are waiting for the mini-set at this point. The meta is slowing down and the pieces are becoming more settled. We’re still expecting a few wrinkles once pros reveal their hands this weekend at the Master’s Tour, but we don’t expect drastic changes or discoveries.
Our podcast this weekend is going to be a special discussion about Meta Dynamics and how to apply it to your gameplay decisions, so if you’ve liked episode 45 of the podcast, you can look forward to the continuation!
For now, play some Mercenaries. Or Taunt Druid. That deck’s pretty good.
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